Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.481910 3.696373 3.924695 4.187173 4.482242 4.805698 5.189865
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.146009 3.424032 3.733786 4.108401 4.554720 5.076895 5.745762
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.872211 3.184694 3.545078 3.998723 4.565685 5.267448 6.230934
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.672588 3.011050 3.413325 3.938271 4.624298 5.521409 6.844576
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.511261 2.869052 3.305796 3.894724 4.697446 5.805481 7.566512
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.419726 2.804934 3.288560 3.964321 4.929961 6.350338 8.829796
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.249670 2.629635 3.114522 3.806494 4.824261 6.383067 9.282391
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.167368 2.561668 3.075986 3.831470 4.988691 6.868895 10.728568
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.086192 2.489611 3.026040 3.834712 5.120816 7.333236 12.368073
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.977157 2.373892 2.907928 3.726616 5.061465 7.449663 13.313034
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.872664 2.259037 2.784095 3.599719 4.956326 7.463063 14.036585
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.836118 2.235116 2.787422 3.667979 5.192560 8.206455 17.385240
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.801600 2.220355 2.814933 3.798351 5.604229 9.572048 25.482783
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.719288 2.133333 2.729572 3.736501 5.650625 10.144347 32.329612
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.637499 2.042842 2.633177 3.647160 5.630984 10.565312 40.725244
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.572237 1.973042 2.564066 3.598605 5.690314 11.265897 57.919333
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.515463 1.912787 2.505875 3.563773 5.775825 12.129429 96.152719
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.483440 1.887469 2.500991 3.625209 6.095390 14.082474 481.340212
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.414647 1.803624 2.396888 3.491605 5.928842 14.076442 1669.150937
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.381368 1.772077 2.375950 3.514318 6.155095 16.007947 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.346897 1.736985 2.346832 3.518148 6.337821 18.051044 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.297666 1.677033 2.272853 3.425953 6.244694 18.520456 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.248564 1.615558 2.193495 3.316971 6.088313 18.509581 NaN